Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1.065559 1.296807 1.544018 1.825777 2.135933 2.465021 2.838708
2024-10-06 0.742945 1.050453 1.405908 1.837811 2.339836 2.897375 3.556067
2024-10-13 0.569862 0.907092 1.320432 1.845331 2.477231 3.198796 4.071152
2024-10-20 0.425747 0.771132 1.221049 1.817351 2.558719 3.426299 4.496023
2024-10-27 0.383090 0.758582 1.267838 1.961050 2.839707 3.882702 5.183147
2024-11-03 0.342252 0.740234 1.301211 2.083718 3.092717 4.305359 5.831830
2024-11-10 0.307562 0.724216 1.332998 2.200959 3.336993 4.716835 6.467815
2024-11-17 0.278121 0.711004 1.365152 2.316374 3.577885 5.124258 7.100135
2024-11-24 0.235493 0.668166 1.349490 2.363491 3.728737 5.419706 7.597035
2024-12-01 0.190152 0.611502 1.307188 2.369297 3.822611 5.642355 8.004276
2024-12-08 0.138503 0.530245 1.218628 2.303454 3.817049 5.736797 8.251794
2024-12-15 0.097465 0.457698 1.135205 2.238080 3.806738 5.821190 8.483717
2024-12-22 0.068972 0.405760 1.084451 2.223886 3.873482 6.015726 8.869528
2024-12-29 0.051457 0.374790 1.066765 2.258299 4.007807 6.299798 9.371730
2025-01-05 0.034824 0.336386 1.030154 2.259525 4.092819 6.517481 9.788506
2025-01-12 0.020354 0.292483 0.976935 2.230464 4.132388 6.674085 10.127298
2025-01-19 0.020060 0.307841 1.041478 2.391510 4.444883 7.192976 10.930283
2025-01-26 0.018448 0.316087 1.091603 2.529614 4.725331 7.670714 11.682556
2025-02-02 0.016611 0.322189 1.137277 2.660852 4.996713 8.137623 12.422699
2025-02-09 0.014837 0.327565 1.181383 2.789897 5.265715 8.602529 13.161935
2025-02-16 0.010294 0.311959 1.179684 2.842467 5.423556 8.919460 13.712007
2025-02-23 0.005592 0.285529 1.151512 2.848948 5.513047 9.144429 14.143768
2025-03-02 0.001460 0.241962 1.078604 2.775458 5.482055 9.205473 14.362620